The Otium Post

The Otium Post

26/06/2016

Adnan Sakli - Lesson plan of who the crooks are

LESSON PLAN OF WHO THE CROOKS ARE


Adnan Sakli - March 22, 2013

The groups and the system is operational under the comprised illegal authorities that are used by , G8, Nato, IMF, Wor ld Bank, Vatican, Royal families of Europe, Primary being the Dutch and the British as well as the German of Bavarian descent, Military organisations, Intelligence organisations, The EU councils, The Jewish Lobbies , State department of the USA working for the Israelis via the network established by Kissinger,Council of Rome, League of nations in Geneva, Council of Versailles, The French intelligence and organised criminal structures of the state Via the Misuse of the Treaty of Rome of the 1868,The council of foreign relations that is the extension of the members of the Yale club in London and New York, The Harvard club of USA and London working through the Soros group in Prague with fraudulent issued of bonds and other financial documents .



The Trilateral commission which is the Triad is reality . With its chief members being British crown , The Chinese and the USA protectorate government out of Washington D.C. That is incorporated in 1790 in the Cayman Islands Working via the ECCB banking structures of the Caribbean and the South American Channels with Panama and Belize being their sours of distribution of illegal activities.

All of which are dependent in the use of the bond markets to launder their ill gotten funds . With that market being closed under my authority as the chief underwriter and the person that has the standing order to refusal of any and all illegal funds into the system they are currently being starved off and are trying to cover their liabilities on all level by any means possible. 

They are in the structures of the systems by the use of the Military and Masonic structures by means of threat , extortion, blackmail and even death.
These people have no power as long as their activities are understood and placed under the spot light .

The lead groups are the Israelis with the Mossad or Yingsa under the order of the British and the house of Lords with the privy council members around the world
The Dutch with again the Mossad via AIG , In the Netherlands and the Goldman Sachs groups that have infiltrated the governments and their financial networks as the criminal Mafia of the political world.



The French with their trafficking of illegal funds through the OTH Trust in Paris, again with the Mossad and CIA.Also being the home base of the Rothschild criminal network via Nevada, Tel Aviv, London , Hong Kong, Belgium with the Veolia group of Belgium and the former governor of Geneva in Switzerland.

The USA military networks from Connecticut and Florida with the street slime of Georgia under the Jekyle Island agreements with Former Governor Mr. White and the New York Hasidim community. The Black Masons of Georgia working through the U.N. formulate security council investments or frauds because they access the systems illegally to run their arms deals under the blanket of peace missions also the manipulation of the oil contracts world wide .

The Germans from Berlin and Bayer regions of Germany and Munich with the CIA and host of other intelligence agencies.

The final and the oldest scum are the networks via Austria through the Masons , Nato via the Erste Bank that has been spy central forever, Raiffesen bank that is the Germanic nationalist groups and the French, Mr. Micheal Herzog of Spain , Italy , Telaviv, Franfurt, London , Rome ,Milan, Hong Kong stealing with all the might of the British , Germans, and the Israelis.

In London the groups lead by the groups of Terrence Brown who has formulated the criminality and obstruction of real and legal business under the protection of the government agencies and the House of Lords and Lord Lake acting as the main person in charge of the obstructions .

So this is a good picture of the main body of the criminals who have absolutely no legal rights to do the injustice they perpetrate against the people and have never had that right outside of criminal actions.

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Jostemikk (Norwegian Blog)

Med fokus på det mainstream media ikke skriver om
Pål  12. mars 2016 at 16:38

Poster dette med godkjennelse fra Alex Michael Cechanowicz som jeg nedenfor henviser til som kilde:

Legger inn noe utfyllende info her. Jeg snublet nemlig over «noe informasjon», og kjente at det var noe som gnagde og plaget meg med det hele, etter noen minutter forstod jeg hva det dreide seg om, og mener bestemt at infoen kan settes i direkte sammenheng med hva Jostemikk tar opp i denne tråden. Nå har jeg ikke kapasitet eller tid til å være like etterettelig og nøye som Jostemikk, men håper den følgende informasjon kan komme til nytte i vår felles etterforskning, avdekking og avsløring av disse trojanske hestene som forpester menneskeheten.


Noen av dere har sikkert hørt historien om Adnan Sakli, «the global financial underwriter». Om dere ikke kjenner historien om Adnan Sakli, så les her: https://www.facebook.com/notes/alex-michael/the-legacy-and-demise-of-adnan-sakli/3959524043301/

Kommer man i snakk med folk om Adnan Sakli, så kommer ofte spørsmålet: «Kan det verifiseres hvem han er (var), og at han hadde rollen og makten som «global underwriter»? Alex Michael sitter på ca. 15 timer audiosamtaler mellom ham og Adnan Sakli, i tillegg til kopier av ca 100 dokumenter, som Alex hevder bekrefter Adnans identitet og rolle i toppen av den globale finansielle maktpyramiden.

Så kommer det noe svært interessant, og svært relevant for tema i denne tråden: Alex hevder, at Adnan Saklis identitet og rolle som global underwriter, i årskiftet 2012/2013 ble bekreftet av en toppsjef i Nordea Bank via hans tilgang til såkaldte «grey screens», etter henvendelse til banken om dette fra den norske avdelingen av det internasjonale sikkerhetsfirmaet G4S som Alex hadde blitt anbefalt å ta kontakt med i sakens anledning.


Alex hevdet videre at den norske avdelingen av G4S ikke lengre eksisterer, i det den ble oppkjøpt av NOKAS. Jeg har ikke undersøkt om dette stemmer, men det stemmer antakelig i det at http://g4s.no er parkert, og opplyses eid av noe som heter Safe Agent LTD https://w2.brreg.no/enhet/sok/detalj.jsp;jsessionid=loxq3de2TkqCMHpmcjsFP_43o1E-smc8EX6NSAbPesPm7wH-qYhS!720915144?orgnr=994719114

Vi kan sjekke WayBackMachine for http://g4s.no og her dukker det opp flere resultat, bl.a dette fra 2013


Vi ser det dukker opp interessante saker, bl.a G4S involvering i leveranse av sikkerhets-tjenester ved OsloLufthavn 

https://web.archive.org/web/20130420064636/http://www.g4s.no/nb-NO/Media%20Centre/News/2012/03/21/Sikrer%20publikumopplevelsen/ samt en artikkel hvor de forsvarer seg mot kritikken over at de driver israelske fengsler og leverer sikkerhetstjenester i ulovlig okkuperte palestinske områder osv.

Et søk på G4S globale side på søkeordet «ICTS» (se jostemikks artikkel ovenfor) gav følgende resultat: http://search.g4s.com/search?Search=icts&siteId=www.g4s.com&lang=en. To søkeresultater hvor det andre helt klart viser til selskapets forbindelser til både ICTS, Schiphol flyplass og annet snadder.

«Ron Louwerse continues: “I think we can be satisfied with the way we provide security at Schiphol with Falck Airport Security (også et G4S selskap), ICTS-NAS and the Royal Military Police.This does not mean, however, that we do not continuously strive to improve security still further.”»


Se filen her http://www.g4s.com/~/media/files/annual%20reports/g4s_annualreport_2004.ashx

ICTS (Shin Bet) samarbeider med NOKAS om sikkerheten på Oslo Lufthavn Gardermoen. G4S annonserte i 2013 en 6 års kontrakt om sikkerheten på Oslo Lufthavn, og ble senere kjøpt opp av nettopp NOKAS. Vi vet at ICTS er et israelsk selskap etablert av Shin Bet. Vi vet også at G4S har sterk tilknytting til Israel, og er antakelig et av Shin Bets mange kamuflasjeavdelinger rundt omkring i verden.

Disse selskapene forsøker å etablere seg som GLOBALE SIKKERHETSSELSKAPER. Med tanke på at G4S internasjonale avdeling fremstår med underavdelinger i en drøss land over hele verden, hvorfor la de opp i Norge og lot seg kjøpe opp av NOKAS? Var det for å fjerne fokus på «noe» ubehagelig?

Eller var det for å posisjonere seg enda bedre, for hva har vi her? ICTS (Shin Bet) som samarbeider med NOKAS/G4S (Shin Bet) om «sikkerheten» på Oslo Lufthavn Gardermoen?

Med tanke på zionistmafiaen som sitter på toppen og styrer det rentebærende gjeldspengesystem vi alle er slave under, og med tanke på at samme gjengen høyst sannsynlig står bak det meste av terrorisme på kloden, utført av såkalte «sikkerhetstjenester», så harmonerer også dette med det faktum at G4S (norske avdeling) den gang avviste å hjelpe Mike og Adnan Sakli. Såvidt jeg har forstådt var tilbakemeldingen den gang at ja, de kunne bekrefte Adnan Saklis identitet og rolle, men når det kom til å hjelpe var svaret «no, we will handle this OUR WAY«.


28 feb 2014 døde Adnan Sakli på mystisk vis, antakelig forgiftet.

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Google translation:

Focusing on the mainstream media do not write about
Pål 12th March 2016 at 4:38 p.m.

Records this approval by Alex Michael Cechanowicz I below refer to the source:

Adds any supplementary info here. I stumbled namely over "any information", and felt that it was something that gnawed and tortured me with it all, after a few minutes I realized what it was about, and firmly believe that the info can be directly related to what Jostemikk record in this thread. Now I have the capacity or time to be equally interview was carefully as Jostemikk but hope the following information will be useful in our joint investigation, detection and disclosure of these Trojan horses tainting humanity.

Some of you have probably heard the story of Adnan Sakli, "the global financial underwriter." If you do not know the story of Adnan Sakli, then read here: https://www.facebook.com/notes/alex-michael/the-legacy-and-demise-of-adnan-sakli/3959524043301/

If you come to talk to people about Adnan Sakli so often comes the question: "Can it be verified who he is (was), and that he had the role and power of the" global underwriter "? Alex Michael sits at approximately 15 hours audio conversation between him and Adnan Sakli, in addition to copies of about 100 documents, Alex claims confirms Adnan identity and role in the top of the global financial power pyramid.

Then comes something very interesting and highly relevant topic in this thread: Alex claims that Adnan Saklis identity and role as a global underwriter, in turn of the year 2012/2013 was confirmed by a chief executive of Nordea Bank via his access to the so called "gray screens "upon request to the bank about this from the Norwegian branch of the international security firm G4S which Alex had been recommended to consult on the matter.

Alex claimed further that the Norwegian branch of G4S no longer exists, in which it was acquired by NOKAS. I have not investigated whether this is true but it is true probably in that http://g4s.no is parked, and stated owned by something called Safe Agent LTD https://w2.brreg.no/enhet/sok/detalj.jsp;jsessionid=loxq3de2TkqCMHpmcjsFP_43o1E-smc8EX6NSAbPesPm7wH-qYhS!720915144?orgnr=994719114

We can check WayBackMachine for http://g4s.no and here pops up several results, among them this from 2013

We see it pop up interesting issues, among others G4S involvement in the delivery of security services at Oslo Airport

https://web.archive.org/web/20130420064636/http://www.g4s.no/nb-NO/Media%20Centre/News/2012/03/21/Sikrer%20publikumopplevelsen/ and an article in which they defend themselves against criticism that the driver Israeli prisons and provide security services in illegally occupied Palestinian territories etc.

A search on G4S global page on keyword "ICTS" (see jostemikks article above) the following results: http://search.g4s.com/search?Search=icts&siteId=www.g4s.com&lang=en. Two search results where the second clearly shows the company's connections to both ICTS, Schiphol Airport and other snacks.

"Ron Louwerse continues:" I think we can be satisfied with the way we provideh security that Schiphol with Falck Airport Security (also a G4S company), ICTS-NAS and the Royal Military Police.This does not mean, however, that we do not Continuously strive to improve security still further. ' "

See file here http://www.g4s.com/~/media/files/annual%20reports/g4s_annualreport_2004.ashx

ICTS (Shin Bet) collaborates with NOKAS about the security at Oslo Airport Gardermoen. G4S announced in 2013 June 1 year contract for security at Oslo Airport, and was later acquired by just NOKAS. We know that ICTS is an Israeli company established by the Shin Bet. We also know that G4S has a strong connection with Israel, and is probably one of the Shin Bet many camouflage departments around the world.

These companies are trying to establish themselves as GLOBAL SECURITY COMPANY. Considering that G4S international department emerges with subdivisions in a host country of the world, why let those in Norway and allowed themselves to be of NOKAS? Was it to remove the focus on "something" uncomfortable?

Or was it to position itself even better, for what have we here? ICTS (Shin Bet) that cooperates with NOKAS / G4S (Shin Bet) about the "safety" at Oslo Airport Gardermoen?

Considering zionistmafiaen that sits on top and controls the debt money system we are all enslaved, and considering that the same gang most likely is behind most of the terrorism in the world, carried out by so-called "security services", so also in harmony this with the fact that G4S (Norwegian branch) then declined to help Mike and Adnan Sakli. As far as I have forstådt feedback was then that yes, they could confirm Adnan Saklis identity and role, but when it came to helping the answer was "no, we will act this OUR WAY".


February 28, 2014 died Adnan Sakli mysteriously, probably poisoned.

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George Soros



Brexit wound: UK vote makes EU decline 'practically irreversible', Soros says

CNBC.com - Javier E. David | @TeflonGeek
3 Hours Ago

The United Kingdom's fateful decision to break away from the European Union makes an eventual dissolution of the 28 member bloc "practically irreversible," billionaire financier George Soros wrote on Saturday.

In a somber post at Project Syndicate, Soros, who rose to prominence by speculating against the British pound—immortalizing him as the man who broke the Bank of England—speculated that the U.K.'s referendum to split from the EU is likely to hasten the breakup of the entire EU.

Brexit, combined with Europe's festering migrant crisis, has created a "catastrophic scenario" that has grave consequences for Britain and the world economy, Soros wrote, "making the disintegration of the EU practically irreversible."

Noting that Scotland is agitating to leave the U.K., Soros said the county itself "may not survive" the decision to leave Europe.

"The consequences for the real economy [from Brexit] will be comparable only to the financial crisis of 2007-2008," wrote the billionaire, adding that a domino effect could potentially end decades of continental unification. 

"But the implications for Europe could be far worse," Soros cautioned. "Tensions among member states have reached a breaking point, not only over refugees, but also as a result of exceptional strains between creditor and debtor countries within the euro zone."

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Commentary:

The last article above comes from ´Mr. Bilderberg´ himself, George Soros,considered one of the most evil men in the world,playing our economies like a Las Vegas gambler.

I would advise all the YES voters to do a few googles with the words, Illuminati, Bilderberg, George Soros,and NWO, after which,I am sure,they will quickly change their minds.

Britain took a brave step in setting an example to leave a union going the wrong way, with intentions that are NOT for the best of human kind.

Adnan Sakli died under mysterious circumstances in a Spanish hotel room in 2014, the year after he became the Chief Underwriter to the World finance systems in 2013.  His funds and papers were taken over by the CIA.
  

Administrator





25/06/2016

More than a million people sign a petition for a second Brexit referendum

As more than a million people sign a petition for a second Brexit , could it actually happen?





Nigel Farage reacts at the Leave.EU referendum party to UK voting for Brexit 

Telegraph - By Camilla Turner and Michael Wilkinson
25 JUNE 2016 • 2:09PM

A petition calling for a second EU referendum has reached over a million signatures, attracting the biggest surge of support Parliament’s website has ever seen.
The author of the petition, William Oliver Healey, says the Government should re-stage the referendum because the winning vote for Leave was less than 60 per cent and was
based on a turnout of less than 75 per cent. But could this actually happen?

Professor Vernon Bogdanor, one of Britain’s foremost constitutional experts said a second referendum is “highly unlikely”. 

He told The Telegraph: “I don’t think the EU will wish to bargain any further, they will take this vote as final.”

Prof Bogdanor, an expert in constitutional history at King’s College London who was David Cameron’s tutor at Oxford, warned that Governments will be “very careful” about
calling for referendums in the future.

Professor John Curtice, whose exit poll was the only one to predict the Conservatives would win last year's general election, said the subject was so divisive within mainstream
political parties and their supporters that it would be unlikely to form a campaigning issue for some time - let alone spark another public vote.



Thursday's referendum saw 17.4 million (51.9%) votes cast to leave the EU, compared with 16.1 million (48.1%) for remaining part of the bloc, with a turnout of 72.2%, according to
the Electoral Commission.

In response, more than a million people have signed an online petition calling for the Government to implement a rule that "if the Remain or Leave vote is less than 60% based on
a turnout less than 75%, there should be another referendum". The petition passed the seven-figure landmark just over 24 hours after the referendum result was confirmed.

Prof Curtice said: "How many people voted in favor of Leave? Seventeen million. One million is chicken feed by comparison."It's no good people signing the petition now, they should have done it before. Even then, these petitions don't always mean a great deal. "It has passed the 100,000 mark for it to be debated in Parliament. All that means is that some MPs will say, 'It's a terrible shame', others will say, 'Hallelujah'. Then that's the end of it.



EU Referendum: How events unfolded

"Mainstream political parties have been divided on Europe. The parties' supporters have been divided. Nobody is going to want to campaign prominently on this."
The professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde added: "If Boris Johnson is running the Government and if (disengagement from the EU) is taking a long time to be
implemented, two years down the line we could have another poll showing people actually want to reverse the decision and remain in.

"Then there could be a situation where the opposition party in a general election have a mandate to hold a new referendum on it."  Is the referendum legally binding? In theory, the Prime Minister could ignore the referendum result, put the question to a parliamentary debate and gamble on the majority of MPs voting to remain. This is because parliament is sovereign and referendums are generally not binding in the UK.

Had the 2011 referendum on changing the electoral system to alternative vote been successful, the Government would have been obliged to change the law. However, no such
provision was contained within the EU referendum legislation.


How the UK public really felt about Brexit

David Cameron addresses the nation after the British public voted by a slim majority to leave the European Union. What is Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty and why is it important?
Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty states: “Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements”.
Mr Cameron can decide when to invoke Article 50, which is the formal notification to the EU of Britain’s decision to leave. He could still decide to ignore the vote and refuse to invoke it. However, in practice, this is very unlikely. He has said in the past that he would have to trigger it immediately after a vote for Leave, although he could have been speaking figuratively to emphasize that the referendum was final.

On Saturday, the EU founding states called on Britain to "urgently" trigger Article 50 and begin the process of departure.

When will Britain actually leave the EU?

After invoking Article 50, Britain would have up to two years to negotiate their terms of exit. If they wanted any longer, all member states would need to unanimously agree to it.Prof Bogdanor said that Article 50 is “deliberately designed to make it difficult to leave. The balance of power is with the other 27 member states.” He went on: “There are up to two years to negotiate. Unless there is unanimity, they can say ‘these are our terms, take it or leave it’.”



Senior EU officials have already said they want Britain to leave as soon as possible.
Jean-Claude Juncker, the president of the European commission, said “it doesn’t make any sense to wait until October to try to negotiate the terms of their departure”.
In an interview with Germany’s ARD television station, he added: “I would like to get started immediately.”

Will Britain ever be able to re-join the EU?

Yes. The final clause of Article 50 states: “If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49”.
Article 49 of the Lisbon Treaty deals with the procedure for any countries wanting to join the EU, whether they have previously been members or not.

It says that if a European state is committed to promoting the values of “human dignity, freedom, democracy, equality, the rule of law and respect for human rights” then it may
apply to become a member of the Union.

Following an application, the European Council would have to unanimously agree to Britain re-joining, after consulting with the Commission and receiving assent of the European Parliament. The decision would then need to be ratified by all member states. Treaty of Paris creates the European Coal and Steel Community. 

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ZeroHedge


W-I-L-D! by Capitalist Exploits - Jun 25, 2016 9:53 AM

When financial markets go berserk (just in case you needed a proof that markets are NOT efficient)

Today is a day which will no doubt become legendary and enter folk memory in the UK and elsewhere.  A few thoughts on Gold, currency and “risk free savings” in the wake of Brexit
Today is one of those days that I almost wish I had taken the blue pill.  Bilderberg Chairman Warns Brexit Possibility "Extremely High"


by Tyler Durden Jun 14, 2016 3:01 PM

Just day after their mysterious annual meeting in Dresden, it appears The Bilderberg Group's gravest concern is Brexit. While everything from The Middle East to Donald Trump was on the agenda, the remarks this week from AXA CEO (and Chairman of The Bilderberg Group) Henri de Castries that there is an "extremely high" probability that the U.K. will vote to leave the European Union and investors will face “a true landscape of uncertainties," suggest the establishment is concerned.

As Bloomberg reports, neither the U.K. nor the EU region is prepared for negotiations that would follow a vote to leave on June 23, de Castries said at a conference in Paris...

“If they remain, the situation isn’t simple either, and this is underestimated by lots of people,” because the result will be interpreted differently by each side, he said.
De Castries, who is stepping down from France’s largest insurer at the start of September, became one of the few executives to speak out on the likelihood of a British vote to exit the EU. The Sun, Britain’s biggest-selling newspaper, backed a so-called Brexit on its front page on Tuesday. Several polls on Monday also put the “Leave” campaign ahead. The pound and European stocks plunged.
If the U.K. votes to leave the EU, any complacency in the subsequent negotiations could encourage some other countries to seek special treatment within the political bloc, threatening "to accelerate the unraveling of Europe," de Castries said.

Think that this is a "tempest in a teapot"? Think again. If the chairman of The Bilderberg Group is worried, then that means all of these entities are 'worried' and ´preparing´...

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Commentary:


Absolutely ridiculous demand from the looser YES to EU side,asking the government for a second Brexit referendum based on a suggested law alteration of a min. 60% out of a min. voting population of 75%.  Too late to close the gate after the horse has run.

During the voting evening and night when the YES side seemed to be getting the majority votes,no one mentioned a second referendum at new rules,BUT, the tune changed drastically the next morning when it became clear Brexit had won.

They claim that 70% of the voters are academics and from the UK elite,the rest are children under 16 and old people. What utter nonsense.  A large proportion of the conservative ministers also voted for Brexit.

As the global elite (Bilderberg) considering themselves all-powerful,and do not accept defeat,you can be sure they are now activating Plan ´B´ in an effort to have the present result overturned.  As usual,they are using their old weapon of thesis+antithesis=synthesis


BE AWARE !  DO NOT LET THEM GET AWAY WITH IT !

Administrator
THE OTIUM POST







24/06/2016

Mot EU Tyrbring-Gjedde var fornøyd med utfallet av Brexit

Tybring-Gjedde var fornøyd med utfallet av Brexit.

Spesielt det at folket fikk bestemme, og at demokratiet avgjorde.


Mot EU Tybring-Gjedde var fornøyd med utfallet av Brexit.


Christian Tybring-Gjedde (Frp) mener Brexit er en seier for nasjonalstaten. Han håper britenes EU-nei er begynnelsen på slutten for EU.

Christian Tybring Gjedde er en av flere som ble overrasket da han våknet til nyheten om at britene hadde stemt nei til fortsatt EU-medlemskap.

Men han er en av få norske politikere som ser på Brexit som utelukkende positivt.

- Dette er et folkelig opprør mot «The establishment», og bra for Storbritannia. Jeg tror det er positivt nå at både de konservative og sosialdemokratene må lytte til folket i stedet for å overprøve dem. Dette er et godt tegn for Europa, sa Tybring-Gjedde i Dagbladets studio i morges.


Han sier at han håper flere gjør opprør på vegne av nasjonalstaten.

Opprør
- Det er det Europa var ment å være - ulike nasjonalstater som ikke er fiender, men som samarbeider med hverandre, uten overnasjonal styring fra Brussel.

Tybring Gjedde mener at de store etablerte partiene i Storbritannia, Labour og Tories, ikke har levert.

- Når folk blir arbeidsledige, og ser at rike blir rikere og fattige blir fattigere, at de mister jobber som flyttes til Asia og andre steder, så er det klart det blir et opprør. Det er bra at Storbritannia gjør dette nå, heller enn at det kanskje skjer på voldelig vis senere.

Håper på kollaps
Tybring Gjedde trekker fram Nederland og Frankrike som land han tror kan tenkes å forlate unionen.

- Og da faller EU. Det betyr ikke at vi ikke skal handle med hverandre. men i Europa har nasjonalstatene eksistert og handlet med hverandre i tusen år. EU kom først etter andre verdenskrig, sier Tybring-Gjedde.

- Håper du EU faller?

- Ja, det har jeg alltid håpet.

- Vi har nasjonale språk og kulturer det er en styrke for europa. Det er ikke dermed sagt at det ene landet er bedre enn det andre, eller at vi skal være i krig med hverandre. Men et land er unikt i forhold til det andre, og det må vi bevare for fremtiden, sier Tybring-Gjedde.

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Commentary:







Administrator
THE OTIUM POST





23/06/2016

Latest Brexit Poll Update: Expect the UK to Vote to Leave the EU

Latest news for BREXIT -19 June 2016

EDT By Global Traders Association Comment
March 20, 2016, 09:43:10 AM 

Shutterstock photo

There was a poll taken last week by The Telegraph that showed the Brexit outcome in a statistical tie without considering the motivation of people to vote. When the likelihood of voters to vote was taken into account, the outcome shifted to 52-47 in favor of Brexit. So the turnout may be the key with those more motivated likely to vote.

Meanwhile, our ongoing poll, which asks the question, Do you expect the June 23 Brexit referendum result to be the UK leaving or staying in the EU?, continues to show an overwhelming expectation that the vote will be to leave the EU (see results below): Note, we do not approach people to take part in our poll and those who decide to participate appear to be motivated to express their opinion.



Our results remain in sharp contrast to polls showing an outcome in public polls that is too close to call. As a result, we again asked our respondents for their views on why they think there is such a disparity between the polls. Once again, the insights we received were very revealing:

I think that 70pc of most Brits are eurosceptic. The majority when faced with an anonymous online poll where there is little risk are quite happy to vote "leave". Might be a different story on Election Day.  Also it is not very politically correct to say you want to leave among 'polite' company. If anybody at work asks me ...I'm undecided. Genuinely, I worry that in some companies a dim view might be taken of those who support leave. 

The problem with commercial polls on the subject is that they target specific demographics, all demographics that may not have a specific interest in the subject but once asked, may give an opinion.  That is not to say that it is uppermost in their minds.  The type of person that will contribute to your poll are the ones with a specific interest in the subject whether it be in or out of the EU.

The younger generations are happy to divulge every part of their lives on social media to whomever will listen, whereas the older generations value their privacy. 


Brexit Poll Results:

The overall results stayed steady at 85%-15% expecting Brexit with around 90% of UK respondents polled this past week again expecting the result to be to exit the EU.

Overall results:   Brexit = leaving the EU   No Brexit = staying in EU

Mar 6                    58%                                      42%

Mar 13                  85%                                       15%

Mar 20                 85%                                       15%


To sum up, there continues to be an overwhelmingly strong sentiment, especially by UK respondents, which make up most of the poll that the referendum will result in a British exit from the EU. This has been a consistent trend throughout our polling. Perhaps the side in favor of Brexit feels more motivated to express its expectations as the UK equity and forex markets are not showing a similar concern. However, as noted, if the trend seen in our poll proves to be on target, then keep an eye on those markets for confirmation although it is a long time yet before the actual vote.


Jay Meisler, founder
Global Traders Association

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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21/06/2016

Cost of Living in Oslo - June 2016

Cost of Living in Oslo



IndexInfo
Cost of Living Index (Excl.Rent):101.27
Rent Index:46.51
Groceries Index:87.36
Restaurants Index:120.22
Cost of Living Plus Rent Index:75.64
Local Purchasing Power:115.73


RestaurantsEdit ] Avg.Range
Meal, Inexpensive Restaurant160.00 kr150.00-200.00
Meal for 2 People, Mid-range Restaurant, Three-course800.00 kr600.00-1,000.00
McMeal at McDonalds (or Equivalent Combo Meal)100.00 kr90.00-120.00
Domestic Beer (0.5 liter draught)80.00 kr70.00-88.00
Imported Beer (0.33 liter bottle)75.00 kr50.00-90.00
Cappuccino (regular)37.56 kr34.00-40.00
Coke/Pepsi (0.33 liter bottle)28.89 kr20.00-40.00
Water (0.33 liter bottle)25.00 kr20.00-30.00
MarketsEdit ] Avg.
Milk (regular), (1 liter)16.66 kr15.00-20.00
Loaf of Fresh White Bread (500g)25.96 kr16.90-34.00
Rice (white), (1kg)26.82 kr18.00-45.00
Eggs (12)32.10 kr25.00-40.00
Local Cheese (1kg)88.19 kr70.00-110.00
Chicken Breasts (Boneless, Skinless), (1kg)102.75 kr91.86-130.00
Beef Round (1kg) (or Equivalent Back Leg Red Meat)176.25 kr130.00-250.00
Apples (1kg)20.77 kr16.00-28.00
Banana (1kg)18.40 kr14.00-22.00
Oranges (1kg)21.50 kr15.17-30.00
Tomato (1kg)24.61 kr20.00-35.00
Potato (1kg)16.79 kr10.00-25.00
Onion (1kg)13.62 kr9.00-20.00
Lettuce (1 head)15.21 kr10.00-20.00
Water (1.5 liter bottle)20.19 kr15.00-25.00
Bottle of Wine (Mid-Range)130.00 kr100.00-150.00
Domestic Beer (0.5 liter bottle)26.95 kr24.90-30.00
Imported Beer (0.33 liter bottle)32.86 kr25.00-40.00
Pack of Cigarettes (Marlboro)105.00 kr95.00-115.00
TransportationEdit ] Avg.
One-way Ticket (Local Transport)30.00 kr30.00-32.00
Monthly Pass (Regular Price)680.00 kr670.00-690.00
Taxi Start (Normal Tariff)100.00 kr60.00-120.00
Taxi 1km (Normal Tariff)14.00 kr13.00-16.00
Taxi 1hour Waiting (Normal Tariff)480.00 kr390.00-600.00
Gasoline (1 liter)14.15 kr13.00-15.00
Volkswagen Golf 1.4 90 KW Trendline (Or Equivalent New Car)266,100.00 kr240,000.00-310,000.00
Utilities (Monthly)Edit ] Avg.
Basic (Electricity, Heating, Water, Garbage) for 85m2 Apartment1,621.23 kr850.00-2,500.00
1 min. of Prepaid Mobile Tariff Local (No Discounts or Plans)0.79 kr0.50-1.00
Internet (10 Mbps, Unlimited Data, Cable/ADSL)321.15 kr220.00-400.00
Sports And LeisureEdit ] Avg.
Fitness Club, Monthly Fee for 1 Adult421.39 kr300.00-600.00
Tennis Court Rent (1 Hour on Weekend)220.30 kr120.00-344.41
Cinema, International Release, 1 Seat120.00 kr110.00-150.00
Clothing And ShoesEdit ] Avg.
1 Pair of Jeans (Levis 501 Or Similar)884.61 kr700.00-1,100.00
1 Summer Dress in a Chain Store (Zara, H&M, ...)366.58 kr250.00-500.00
1 Pair of Nike Running Shoes (Mid-Range)945.90 kr749.14-1,200.00
1 Pair of Men Leather Business Shoes1,134.26 kr900.00-1,500.00
Rent Per MonthEdit ] Avg.
Apartment (1 bedroom) in City Centre11,247.29 kr9,000.00-13,000.00
Apartment (1 bedroom) Outside of Centre8,479.24 kr7,000.00-10,000.00
Apartment (3 bedrooms) in City Centre18,378.05 kr15,000.00-22,000.00
Apartment (3 bedrooms) Outside of Centre14,107.84 kr12,000.00-16,000.00
Buy Apartment PriceEdit ] Avg.
Price per Square Meter to Buy Apartment in City Centre59,984.57 kr55,000.00-65,900.00
Price per Square Meter to Buy Apartment Outside of Centre40,368.18 kr35,000.00-50,000.00
Salaries And FinancingEdit ] Avg.
Average Monthly Disposable Salary (Net After Tax)26,817.22 kr
Mortgage Interest Rate in Percentages (%), Yearly2.492.00-3.00

Prices in Oslo, Norway

These data are based on 2569 entries in the past 12 months from 248 different contributors.
Last update: June, 2016